South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9879c770536954e8760b92e8c6727a066e59516d9c62ae684348b8f075000c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,732 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 62c | 4,907$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 3,405$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.16 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 1,750$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.92 | 3,446 | 51.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L | +21.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 59c | 1,642$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.65 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 1,615$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.62 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 5c | 1,330$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 3,807 | 38.4%1,463 W · 2,344 L | -29.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 40c | 996.45$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.87 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 29c | 792.54$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.89 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 27c | 663.41$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.12 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 639.28$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.72 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 60c | 582.19$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.2 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 37c | 442.09$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.52 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 426.19$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 1,393 | 52.6%733 W · 660 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 39c | 401.84$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.65 | 1,362 | 49.8%678 W · 684 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 35c | 401.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 36c | 349.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.46 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 61c | 326.97$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 39c | 305$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.45 | 1,678 | 50.8%853 W · 825 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…7f4bbacked No | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 9c | 170.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 39c | 168.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…fabfbacked Yes | 42c | 165$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 60c | 157.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 38c | 151$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 60c | 141$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 1,442 | 51.9%748 W · 694 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 59c | 140$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 61c | 137.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 110.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 1,465 | 56.8%832 W · 633 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 81.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…4c7abacked Yes | 73c | 79.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…6ba9backed No | 59c | 73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 67.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 55.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 875 | 21.3%186 W · 689 L | -83.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 67c | 55.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…bf64backed No | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…9848backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Yes | 74c | 48.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 66c | 37.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…c1b1backed No | 59c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed No | 41c | 33.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…16a1backed Yes | 34c | 32.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 32.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…73acbacked No | 63c | 32.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…b65abacked No | 61c | 26.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 73c | 22.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Yes | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 216 | 59.7%129 W · 87 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 59c | 17.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…b152backed Yes | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae85…1964backed Yes | 64c | 16.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.