South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc0e69c97ee096b6e35e0ef3864ce4930d8eb78652fa86a7f0919f1b566ee56e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,954 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 1,671$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,361$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes | 3c | 942.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 7c | 509.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 478.79$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.19 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Yes | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 28c | 226.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 79.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 72.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 74c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed No | 72c | 65.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 58.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 29c | 50.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 42.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…16a1backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 32.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?No won
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.