TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,008 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed No32c6,496$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,407.2649449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes66c6,000$3,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,957.4513134.4%45 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes40c5,818$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.141050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes70c5,795$4,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,052.421,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c5,506$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.865,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes44c4,346$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.1519846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No56c3,680$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.26055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No30c2,023$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.781,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes46c1,680$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.133225%8 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes4c1,417$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5139127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c1,234$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.043,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No7c1,200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11630841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes66c1,143$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.028,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes69c1,072$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.411,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No61c978.85$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.6733745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No38c900.07$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.651,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes71c824.25$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.222356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Yes77c800$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes72c729$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.884156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No58c728.37$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.8537851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No32c708.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3747756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3089651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes45c689$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.848530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c628.31$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.22,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No33c626.22$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5211323.9%27 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No28c621.48$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.4931349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No60c611.53$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7481651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes44c563.64$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2486546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Yes39c500$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.233046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed No56c491.07$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.072339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked No61c489.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.13360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes42c479$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0217143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes39c467.43$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.34854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes77c439$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.343259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes74c405.94$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.623167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c404.15$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.471,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Yes45c389.69$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.362744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes44c382$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0817946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No59c356.44$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.143268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd64b…873cbacked No55c335$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes46c325.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1494141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No15c299.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.996119.7%12 W · 49 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No25c285.61$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.549535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No55c283.39$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.51,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes47c273.45$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1713548.9%66 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes40c270.5$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.245253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8610155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes5c250$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.470055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed No58c234.51$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No61c223.48$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1812051.7%62 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes45c221.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5331745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…f579backed Yes45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea3…466bbacked Yes52c204.12$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9212443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8217066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes57c197.32$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe966…73acbacked No29c192.18$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No43c187.75$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.188248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No58c180.79$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9310846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No58c170.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.950746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No71c169.99$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4732936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c154.09$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.871,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick28cpaid+54.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No31c146.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.051,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed6d…d729backed Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes72c138.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9923254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf35…3fe7backed Yes79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dde…e011backed Yes80c123.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.09540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed No43c122.95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.852236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes46c119.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.549547.4%45 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No33c112.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.492755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No21c109.39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4714443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No56c106.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0627053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c106.74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.451,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8109…4c02backed Yes70c105.43$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a6a…17b3backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Yes70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4551654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4016347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes50c99.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.999428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No55c99.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.997149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No32c99.39$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8594848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No52c99.3$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.729454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No55c98.46$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.311,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd5…e8cebacked Yes45c95.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No33c86.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8385220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes77c83.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1899259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No37c80$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.77128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes78c77.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9928651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No68c76.39$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5416842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes57c73.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3437355.2%206 W · 167 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Yes42c72.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Yes70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504055%22 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.