South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2856ccb0df4e0139c1e62adc66b575c872f0d59fcd71936a5732fe2411c7d2a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 2,723$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.33 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,250$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.66 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 1,095$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 66c | 935.35$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.51 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 887.24$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.55 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 26c | 818.01$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.25 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 772.55$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 65c | 614.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.99 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 4c | 327.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 23c | 268.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 15c | 250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 31c | 245.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 15c | 219.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 63c | 210$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 24c | 204.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 70c | 182.33$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 145.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 133.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 111.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 73c | 107.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 104.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 98.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 81.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 17c | 70.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 30c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed No | 70c | 67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 57.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9d05backed Yes | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 23c | 54.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 40.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 30.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 18.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 17.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 66c | 15.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-18?Yes won
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.