TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,406 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…1319backed No71c15,000$10,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,642.471050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes29c7,868$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,586.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed No0c7,010$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.052236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Yes29c2,310$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.344153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes10c2,051$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.6939127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No75c1,733$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.862657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes13c1,540$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.731,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No71c1,454$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.7737851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes79c1,311$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.621,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes13c1,247$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.4211323.9%27 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6076…b218backed Yes29c1,115$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.65540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Yes9c1,111$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+267.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c1,072$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.243,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Yes29c1,056$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.76742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes26c1,033$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.715,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes1c1,025$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.2535758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes7c999.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9930841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes9c884.61$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.758,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes30c860.52$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.6581651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes31c806.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.454825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes8c799.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.322,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes9c788.43$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.983225%8 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No5c749.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4741256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Yes25c617.66$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+63.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes76c523.35$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.351376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+78.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes31c522.86$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.5933745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Yes4c509.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+80.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes29c509$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.3918742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c507.52$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.361,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No70c499.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.993951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Yes29c455.17$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.171662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes5c373.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5716041.3%66 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc13d…6928backed Yes3c368.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.1250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+1,628.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes8c362.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.5628.1%5 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7802…fa6bbacked No75c308.12$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.09425%1 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick75cpaid-66.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No6c294.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.592755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes28c273.51$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9310846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked No20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes26c224$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.472,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f4…3421backed Yes26c217.69$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No71c211.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5117066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes29c204.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9245253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No7c204.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed No20c199.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.21915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes26c188.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.788056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes10c179.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.421,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be9…8e34backed No20c167.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.47450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+192.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No78c160$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.982979.3%23 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+73.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes26c158.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.24738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No17c154.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1982434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Yes26c153.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.851827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x068b…2106backed No75c153.33$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%0 W · 4 L-2.8wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.531226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f18…9aa7backed No20c149.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb624…e927backed Yes9c149.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick32cpaid+212.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4914…2bcbbacked Yes26c148.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+186.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef5a…a040backed Yes9c140.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,005.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes30c135$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes25c133.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.31,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes8c125$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11513335.3%47 W · 86 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Yes25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes29c116.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.228763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes31c99.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9816347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes23c90.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.089361.3%57 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3f…0fa5backed No71c82.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes30c80$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5667548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes30c79.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0385220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked No71c75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc82d…7199backed Yes27c74.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.65425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes18c72.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4310160.4%61 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No74c63.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6717946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No72c63.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2637355.2%206 W · 167 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes28c61.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0350746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No70c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.77950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No71c59.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.543351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.619239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc068…113dbacked Yes26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.691838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0673…afabbacked Yes18c56.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.131833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No28c55.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.318248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes27c53.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.078829.5%26 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c75…978ebacked Yes25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes54c46.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.128569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d6f…e57cbacked Yes26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.63545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf88d…2838backed No71c35.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18b6…988dbacked No71c35.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254075%30 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes29c35.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed No71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc548…b92cbacked No56c26.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed No72c26.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa74…3067backed No69c25.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe31…aea0backed No71c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c20.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.911,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No71c20.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2217055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed No75c15.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.891533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed No72c14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed No75c14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.