Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PEC Zwolle vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80d5a4e2d505dde0e92246795545e5d3a513682d01517cea576bcf2673a02105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,696 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 25c | 13,288$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.09 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 77c | 5,772$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.02 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 5,683$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 3,337$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,535$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.61 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 1,246$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.12 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked No | 74c | 676.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 664.33$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.27 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 598.17$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.63 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 74c | 530.63$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.67 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 36c | 441.16$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…1415backed No | 71c | 316.9$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…5439backed Yes | 29c | 316.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes | 27c | 281.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 77c | 231.45$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 66c | 219.78$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 32c | 180$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 17c | 163.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 149.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 23c | 127.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 9c | 126$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 115.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 112.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 42c | 111.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 27c | 108$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 26c | 89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed No | 58c | 80.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 80.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…de43backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 26c | 65.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 45c | 62.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 22c | 62.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 37c | 56.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Yes | 28c | 53.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 53.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…31b7backed Yes | 27c | 46.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 58c | 35.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 77c | 34.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 33.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Yes | 76c | 31.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 72c | 29.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 48c | 29.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 66c | 27.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 80c | 27.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…afc9backed No | 71c | 27.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Yes | 78c | 23.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 74c | 16.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…73acbacked Yes | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PEC Zwolle vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-13?No won
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.