Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b972b35b8c0ed0b478cbdd14a6775e0ab4ac16798a6e6d03ae975f52e82e92a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,684 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 14c | 29,152$3,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.64 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 12c | 5,258$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.53 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 39c | 2,566$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.81 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 26c | 1,161$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.18 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 71c | 975.53$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.9 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 44c | 932.27$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.2 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 32c | 909.46$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.04 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 858.82$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.53 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Yes | 40c | 813.95$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 57c | 812.57$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.38 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 52c | 756.9$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.05 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 13c | 744.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 48c | 495$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 482.58$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.48 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 481.56$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 438.23$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 9c | 279.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Yes | 13c | 234.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked No | 63c | 182.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 9c | 176.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 36c | 171.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c1…70a3backed Yes | 38c | 146$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 14c | 143.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 9c | 137.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 135.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 15c | 123$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 66c | 119.96$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf09…0bbbbacked Yes | 39c | 112$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 62c | 103$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 100.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 30c | 89.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed No | 66c | 81.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 74.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 38c | 73.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked No | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 62c | 61.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 30c | 55.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 53.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…257cbacked No | 62c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed No | 75c | 50.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 38c | 40.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8587…76e0backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 61c | 39.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…0deabacked No | 62c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Yes | 49c | 36.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Yes | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 35c | 33.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 33.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…7cb3backed No | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 39c | 31.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 28.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed No | 80c | 25.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67d1…03e6backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a2…507abacked No | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…c1cfbacked No | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…4d87backed No | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-13?this page
- Will PEC Zwolle vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.