South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc772445556b389518468e06f49d0c977d921fdceccd5dba440881ad89dc289de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,359 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 44c | 173,038$76,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,036.95 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 38,762$21,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,723.66 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 56c | 19,304$10,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,810.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 43c | 10,961$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,248.02 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 57c | 10,820$6,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,145 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 10,713$3,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,891.4 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 56c | 8,978$5,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,067.57 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 8,400$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 56c | 7,958$4,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,456.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 56c | 7,538$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.28 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 56c | 7,184$4,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,022.94 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 56c | 6,239$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.84 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed No | 56c | 5,954$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 56c | 5,455$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 18c | 5,102$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.53 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 56c | 4,543$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 4,041$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.97 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 80c | 3,701$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.2 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed No | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 43c | 3,152$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.59 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed No | 57c | 2,584$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 56c | 2,555$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.79 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed No | 56c | 1,792$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 16c | 1,705$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.66 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 5c | 1,648$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 58c | 1,357$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.66 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 27c | 1,268$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.98 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed No | 56c | 895$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998d…7c1ebacked No | 57c | 876.32$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 56c | 800.01$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.01 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 766.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 78c | 759.84$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.02 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 66c | 757.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.57 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 16c | 728.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 35c | 706.63$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.32 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 61c | 700$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 44c | 679$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.24 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked No | 56c | 625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 56c | 604.03$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.73 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed No | 56c | 593$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed No | 56c | 592.86$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 15c | 573.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 569$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.88 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 56c | 562.5$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 56c | 535$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…09c1backed No | 57c | 490$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 17c | 487.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 56c | 442.9$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.02 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 17c | 435.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 57c | 421.05$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 43c | 373.78$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.05 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e2…8e08backed No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 351.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 57c | 324.56$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 45c | 301$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 55c | 300.46$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 297$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 6c | 294.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 19c | 285.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…a011backed No | 57c | 285$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked No | 22c | 284.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed No | 22c | 281.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…73acbacked No | 16c | 278.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed No | 57c | 247$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 39c | 236.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 221.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 57c | 221.37$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 57c | 218.31$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked No | 57c | 217.09$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 19c | 213.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…95cdbacked No | 27c | 194.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked No | 56c | 187$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 63c | 180$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 59c | 178$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed No | 56c | 177.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Yes | 37c | 176$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 56c | 175$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 56c | 175$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 55c | 174.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 57c | 173.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 14c | 172$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-18?this page
- Will CA Paranaense vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.