Tennis · resolved market
Morelos: Alejandro Hayen vs Andres Martin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa401ba92dff83865dd6e172fe8c30bc9764558a765b31f98f15d8af0bfc058
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andres Martinof Alejandro Hayen, Andres Martin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,602 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alejandro Hayen | 35c | 2,604$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.89 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Andres Martin | 72c | 2,307$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.57 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…e574backed Andres Martin | 77c | 1,280$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Andres Martin | 64c | 1,101$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.83 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Alejandro Hayen | 25c | 1,068$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.68 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alejandro Hayen | 26c | 809.28$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alejandro Hayen | 54c | 743.94$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.14 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Alejandro Hayen | 18c | 740$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Andres Martin | 56c | 715.04$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Andres Martin | 66c | 688.48$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.1 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Alejandro Hayen | 16c | 641.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Alejandro Hayen | 20c | 616$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Alejandro Hayen | 48c | 605$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.33 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Alejandro Hayen | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alejandro Hayen | 15c | 499.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Alejandro Hayen | 54c | 470$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Alejandro Hayen | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Andres Martin | 79c | 418.06$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…3bf8backed Alejandro Hayen | 22c | 400$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Andres Martin | 72c | 362.7$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…4015backed Alejandro Hayen | 25c | 361.08$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Alejandro Hayen | 15c | 356$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Alejandro Hayen | 16c | 344.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Andres Martin | 60c | 300$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Andres Martin | 44c | 231.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.53 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Andres Martin | 44c | 228.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Alejandro Hayen | 14c | 204.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Andres Martin | 65c | 171.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Alejandro Hayen | 31c | 168$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alejandro Hayen | 21c | 133.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Andres Martin | 67c | 127.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Andres Martin | 44c | 124.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Alejandro Hayen | 31c | 121$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Alejandro Hayen | 31c | 119$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa167…ebf9backed Alejandro Hayen | 42c | 105.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alejandro Hayen | 32c | 103.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Andres Martin | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Alejandro Hayen | 36c | 94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…c90abacked Andres Martin | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Alejandro Hayen | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Andres Martin | 73c | 74.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alejandro Hayen | 48c | 71.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Andres Martin | 56c | 59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Andres Martin | 62c | 57.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Alejandro Hayen | 52c | 50.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…96c9backed Andres Martin | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Alejandro Hayen | 55c | 49.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Alejandro Hayen | 23c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Alejandro Hayen | 41c | 46.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Alejandro Hayen | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Andres Martin | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Alejandro Hayen | 41c | 41.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…644abacked Andres Martin | 67c | 37.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 161 | 75.2%121 W · 40 L | +20.4wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Andres Martin | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Andres Martin | 66c | 35.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Andres Martin | 72c | 34.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Alejandro Hayen | 52c | 33.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Andres Martin | 76c | 32.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…73acbacked Alejandro Hayen | 46c | 28.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…4a8bbacked Andres Martin | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Andres Martin | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Andres Martin | 56c | 21.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…e8f7backed Andres Martin | 65c | 21.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 52 | 78.8%41 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…30debacked Andres Martin | 71c | 20.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…c77ebacked Andres Martin | 63c | 20.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Andres Martin | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba8…fa04backed Andres Martin | 73c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morelos: Alejandro Hayen vs Andres Martinthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Hayen vs MartinHayen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.