Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc12bafbe0bac29778bbd28504a1e368fff95c7ca616da4ac8e2b9ce8fc843c10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 70c | 11,440$7,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,991.53 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 6,972$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,817.21 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 69c | 3,334$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 31c | 2,190$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.52 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 1,719$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.94 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 39c | 1,535$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.24 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed No | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked No | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 27c | 899.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 45c | 745.74$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.6 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 703.5$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.03 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 58c | 699.37$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.67 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 47c | 664.93$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.32 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 612.21$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.55 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 571.04$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.48 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…82ccbacked Yes | 29c | 528.68$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 60c | 474.46$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.9 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 36c | 446.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.56 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 443$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.1 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 47c | 337.16$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.93 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 30c | 258.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.83 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Yes | 35c | 193.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 60c | 184$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 44c | 180.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 30c | 161.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 132.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 116$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 44c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 30c | 100.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 70c | 98.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 30c | 98.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 65c | 97.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 63c | 93.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…9640backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 70c | 88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Yes | 44c | 70.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 30c | 69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 70c | 65.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 62.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 60c | 62.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 36c | 60.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes | 50c | 55.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…73acbacked Yes | 44c | 49.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 47c | 48.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9d…8d82backed No | 67c | 45.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 31c | 43.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 41c | 42.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 47c | 41.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 30c | 40.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 31c | 35.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 58c | 24.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed No | 48c | 23.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7af…facfbacked No | 66c | 20.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 74c | 18.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…9422backed Yes | 79c | 18.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.