Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x460d5d5ba44dc5712cb3177a5b6f168a7b42c6044ccb8aa6eb5878e14a953f36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,191 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 1,782$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.39 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Yes | 76c | 1,534$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.01 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 1,363$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.19 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 23c | 1,165$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.77 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 873.7$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.04 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 45c | 587.82$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.52 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 39c | 441.1$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae66…3d04backed Yes | 48c | 436.45$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 71c | 389.54$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.92 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 59c | 361.29$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.67 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Yes | 44c | 269.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 18c | 232.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.97 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 34c | 207$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 196.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 71c | 192.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 56c | 187.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 152.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 55c | 128.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 46c | 108.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 59c | 97.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 46c | 87.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed No | 17c | 73.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…6e41backed Yes | 36c | 73.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Yes | 46c | 65.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed No | 26c | 60.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 31c | 56.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 73c | 54.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 37c | 53.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 67c | 49.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…4f2dbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 68c | 47.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 48c | 40.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 44c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 63c | 39.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…b960backed Yes | 42c | 35.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Yes | 46c | 34.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 47c | 29.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 55c | 29.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Yes | 42c | 27.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 56c | 24.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51f…b4cdbacked Yes | 69c | 23.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed No | 54c | 21.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…8941backed No | 65c | 18.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Gangwon FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.