Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Diane Parry

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46ebafe33611da0e33e7e8d58959562bfa03d4d4ff17875a5f03cec6cb8258a6

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Elvina Kalievaof Elvina Kalieva, Diane Parry
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,569 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Elvina Kalieva	39c	8,443$3,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,143.86	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Diane Parry	67c	5,000$3,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,350	669	49.6%332 W · 337 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Diane Parry	19c	2,800$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Diane Parry	65c	1,669$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.63	302	41.7%126 W · 176 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Elvina Kalieva	75c	1,292$964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.29	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Diane Parry	19c	1,060$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	717	25.2%181 W · 536 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Elvina Kalieva	52c	966.35$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.1	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Elvina Kalieva	40c	956.56$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.75	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Diane Parry	63c	878.39$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	261	58.2%152 W · 109 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Elvina Kalieva	41c	837.48$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.21	1,161	37.6%437 W · 724 L	-27.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Elvina Kalieva	40c	768.71$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.37	1,265	29.2%370 W · 895 L	-13.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Elvina Kalieva	38c	675$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.69	350	32.3%113 W · 237 L	-9.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Diane Parry	63c	633.42$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.79	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Elvina Kalieva	64c	557.67$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.17	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Diane Parry	53c	493.05$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.02	3,072	44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L	-30.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Diane Parry	57c	400.05$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.81	9,286	44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L	-245.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Elvina Kalieva	40c	375$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	1,768	43.2%764 W · 1,004 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…d3dabacked Diane Parry	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Elvina Kalieva	37c	346.63$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.44	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Elvina Kalieva	48c	339.25$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.83	6,786	48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L	+56.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Diane Parry	61c	331$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.94	1,588	47%746 W · 842 L	-24.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Diane Parry	12c	320.85$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.95	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Elvina Kalieva	40c	318$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.3	1,414	41.1%581 W · 833 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Diane Parry	62c	304.98$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.09	967	55.3%535 W · 432 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Diane Parry	62c	289.13$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.26	189	43.4%82 W · 107 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Diane Parry	60c	255.37$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.42	294	61.9%182 W · 112 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Diane Parry	64c	235.42$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.89	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Elvina Kalieva	37c	230.37$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.37	211	49.8%105 W · 106 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Diane Parry	49c	226.52$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.75	2,761	53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L	+73.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Diane Parry	67c	222.35$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	239	65.3%156 W · 83 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Diane Parry	47c	211.01$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	4,288	40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L	-139.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Diane Parry	66c	188.31$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	503	64.6%325 W · 178 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Diane Parry	56c	166.04$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.56	884	55%486 W · 398 L	+37.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Diane Parry	62c	160$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.2	1,076	55.5%597 W · 479 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Diane Parry	64c	156$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.84	382	68.1%260 W · 122 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf77c…61cabacked Diane Parry	46c	154$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.35	118	46.6%55 W · 63 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Elvina Kalieva	39c	153.53$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.53	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Elvina Kalieva	58c	103.05$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.05	606	41.6%252 W · 354 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Diane Parry	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	515	39.8%205 W · 310 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Diane Parry	67c	100$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	465	56.1%261 W · 204 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Elvina Kalieva	38c	92$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.04	968	44.4%430 W · 538 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Elvina Kalieva	45c	88.75$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.75	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Diane Parry	62c	80.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	664	52.3%347 W · 317 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Diane Parry	59c	78$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.28	269	41.3%111 W · 158 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Diane Parry	34c	73.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	328	43.9%144 W · 184 L	-11.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Elvina Kalieva	38c	66$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.92	770	47.9%369 W · 401 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Diane Parry	33c	62.61$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.74	2,537	53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L	+61.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Diane Parry	52c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	893	64.4%575 W · 318 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd714…8240backed Diane Parry	25c	57.59$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Elvina Kalieva	38c	53$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.86	228	47.4%108 W · 120 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Elvina Kalieva	38c	53$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.86	272	46.3%126 W · 146 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Elvina Kalieva	37c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	1,212	33.1%401 W · 811 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe966…73acbacked Diane Parry	68c	47.06$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Elvina Kalieva	38c	46.7$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.95	407	44%179 W · 228 L	-14.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Diane Parry	31c	46$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.48	493	42.8%211 W · 282 L	+16.1wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Elvina Kalieva	39c	44.12$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.07	958	46.6%446 W · 512 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Diane Parry	62c	42.33$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.14	572	52.3%299 W · 273 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Elvina Kalieva	36c	37.52$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.13	363	33.9%123 W · 240 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Diane Parry	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	940	60.6%570 W · 370 L	+11.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Diane Parry	58c	32.59$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Diane Parry	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	165	58.8%97 W · 68 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Diane Parry	70c	27.18$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.03	324	50.9%165 W · 159 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Diane Parry	61c	27$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.34	990	44.8%444 W · 546 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed Elvina Kalieva	38c	26.67$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.54	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Diane Parry	65c	25.12$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	211	72%152 W · 59 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	67cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Elvina Kalieva	53c	25.06$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.83	263	49.4%130 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Elvina Kalieva	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7079…58e8backed Diane Parry	60c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed Elvina Kalieva	42c	24$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.92	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-6.3wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa41f…6100backed Diane Parry	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	112	34.8%39 W · 73 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Elvina Kalieva	70c	18.06$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.45	349	50.4%176 W · 173 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Miami Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Diane Parrythis page
Set 1 Winner: Kalieva vs ParryKalieva won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Miami Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Diane Parry

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event