Tennis · resolved market
Morelos: Alex Hernandez vs Tibo Colson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9942825d28046f634f208a6455d3a8c7d1ea49ac81cf5e179d4ae36b69cbddd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Hernandezof Alex Hernandez, Tibo Colson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,755 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Tibo Colson | 68c | 1,674$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alex Hernandez | 32c | 1,500$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.19 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tibo Colson | 21c | 1,323$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.05 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alex Hernandez | 31c | 884$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.58 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tibo Colson | 50c | 639.56$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.78 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Tibo Colson | 66c | 603.28$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.16 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tibo Colson | 36c | 567.14$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tibo Colson | 21c | 525.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tibo Colson | 66c | 492$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.67 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Alex Hernandez | 29c | 449.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.48 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Alex Hernandez | 35c | 407.72$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.02 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed Alex Hernandez | 28c | 360$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Hernandez | 51c | 333.52$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Alex Hernandez | 32c | 312.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.94 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tibo Colson | 44c | 306.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alex Hernandez | 28c | 299.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Tibo Colson | 70c | 279$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Alex Hernandez | 34c | 258$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.61 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Alex Hernandez | 28c | 209$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Alex Hernandez | 26c | 179.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alex Hernandez | 49c | 171.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Alex Hernandez | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tibo Colson | 21c | 159.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tibo Colson | 22c | 158.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Alex Hernandez | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Tibo Colson | 73c | 130$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…1bffbacked Alex Hernandez | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…af00backed Alex Hernandez | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Alex Hernandez | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735b…bccdbacked Tibo Colson | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Tibo Colson | 64c | 90.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Alex Hernandez | 31c | 87.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Alex Hernandez | 24c | 83.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Alex Hernandez | 69c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Alex Hernandez | 32c | 67.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Tibo Colson | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Tibo Colson | 75c | 67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Tibo Colson | 35c | 66.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Tibo Colson | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tibo Colson | 70c | 62.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Alex Hernandez | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Tibo Colson | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Alex Hernandez | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tibo Colson | 26c | 59.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked Alex Hernandez | 31c | 55.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Alex Hernandez | 25c | 53.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Alex Hernandez | 29c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Alex Hernandez | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed Tibo Colson | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Alex Hernandez | 45c | 46.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Alex Hernandez | 28c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alex Hernandez | 37c | 41.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Alex Hernandez | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Tibo Colson | 50c | 39.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Alex Hernandez | 74c | 37.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 168 | 70.8%119 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Tibo Colson | 70c | 37.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alex Hernandez | 32c | 35.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tibo Colson | 74c | 32.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Tibo Colson | 70c | 30.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tibo Colson | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Alex Hernandez | 40c | 27.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Alex Hernandez | 80c | 26.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Alex Hernandez | 58c | 26.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Hernandez | 80c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…535abacked Tibo Colson | 45c | 22.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Tibo Colson | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…73acbacked Alex Hernandez | 77c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morelos: Alex Hernandez vs Tibo Colsonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Hernandez vs ColsonHernandez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.