Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c4e895f79f6fd223fd3f544500c33226b72174118f1d3d532ac1ee4ae8ee0c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x046e…1d14backed 1win | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe391…02a0backed 1win | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked 1win | 2c | 5,083$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 1win | 0c | 3,947$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1win | 17c | 2,831$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.63 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed 1win | 15c | 2,724$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.67 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked 1win | 10c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 1win | 3c | 1,988$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed 1win | 13c | 1,734$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.03 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed 1win | 16c | 1,708$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.32 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked 1win | 19c | 1,472$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.43 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed 1win | 15c | 1,335$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed 1win | 14c | 1,219$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed 1win | 17c | 1,188$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Spirit | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b5…c19cbacked 1win | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 2c | 901.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed 1win | 1c | 871.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed 1win | 3c | 799.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked 1win | 9c | 677.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1win | 18c | 640$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 1win | 10c | 639.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 1win | 18c | 599.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed 1win | 15c | 438.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed 1win | 14c | 338.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed 1win | 14c | 251.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked 1win | 15c | 230$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed 1win | 12c | 193.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed 1win | 16c | 160.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 1win | 13c | 160.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e7…e22ebacked 1win | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…c271backed 1win | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…1202backed 1win | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked 1win | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed 1win | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f9…432abacked 1win | 15c | 99.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…bad7backed 1win | 12c | 93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed 1win | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked 1win | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…fad0backed Team Spirit | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Spirit | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 1win | 18c | 63.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked 1win | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…9daabacked Team Spirit | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.