Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cd06f2defba65ed11bd6d61ad06e652957992027d51f5393772b15e95f4bfb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,318 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 52c | 64,746$33,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,078.17 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b9…51f6backed Under | 49c | 61,726$30,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,245.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 48c | 60,006$28,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,802.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Over | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 53c | 39,869$21,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,748.96 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 48c | 36,912$17,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,583.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 53c | 28,874$15,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,570.8 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 51c | 20,500$10,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,044.97 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 19,147$9,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,103.72 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 47c | 19,000$8,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,930 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Under | 47c | 18,459$8,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,705.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 12,000$6,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,739.93 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 47c | 10,392$4,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884.07 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 52c | 9,413$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 8,406$4,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,118.8 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 6,503$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.82 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…1394backed Under | 47c | 6,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 53c | 5,821$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.78 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Over | 52c | 5,719$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 50c | 5,303$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 53c | 5,022$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 52c | 4,338$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.13 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 53c | 4,302$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…5825backed Under | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 4,049$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.48 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 52c | 3,813$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d7…5866backed Under | 47c | 3,771$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over | 52c | 3,291$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.1 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 48c | 3,098$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.9 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 2,738$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.71 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 49c | 2,731$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 48c | 2,637$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.74 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 2,552$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.86 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…455dbacked Under | 48c | 2,389$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 2,316$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 52c | 2,257$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Under | 49c | 2,023$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 2,023$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 48c | 1,993$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 49c | 1,992$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…bc24backed Over | 52c | 1,906$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 52c | 1,906$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Over | 52c | 1,883$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under | 48c | 1,774$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 1,674$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.88 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 45c | 1,471$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.02 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 35c | 1,417$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.18 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 52c | 1,350$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 1,176$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.5 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 34c | 1,167$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.37 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.47 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 964.56$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 49c | 963.08$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Under | 54c | 917.88$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.65 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 3c | 899.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Under | 48c | 846.52$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…0d66backed Under | 48c | 826.05$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 47c | 707.13$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.35 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Under | 3c | 704.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 47c | 693.9$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.13 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 677.43$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.17 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 52c | 606.46$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.24 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 600.04$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.02 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 52c | 571.88$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 54c | 551.26$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.87 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Under | 47c | 500.48$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 53c | 497.89$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.01 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 49c | 484.3$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.31 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 41c | 483.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.37 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Over | 52c | 438.44$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.45 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 50c | 385.98$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.99 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 49c | 377.83$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 47c | 376.23$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.58 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 4c | 363.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 6cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 49c | 356.85$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 328.28$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 47c | 305.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b1…69d2backed Over | 53c | 297.38$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…d3dabacked Over | 45c | 286.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 283$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Under | 49c | 252.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.91 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 52c | 247.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 69c | 242.57$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 47c | 209.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Under | 48c | 208.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Under | 48c | 204.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 46c | 202.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 42c | 198.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 53c | 198.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Under | 48c | 198.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Over | 52c | 198.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 53c | 196.09$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Over | 53c | 192.12$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +179.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Over | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…b1b8backed Over | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5this page
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Torino FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.