Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96fe3fd6cb67c389a98570d262cb25a4c8f35806e114637f553ce04721f26687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,266 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 74c | 3,438$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 78c | 1,588$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.52 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 1,328$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.27 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 78c | 1,274$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.36 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 861.46$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.27 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 24c | 729.92$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 78c | 561.75$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.58 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 512.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 22c | 482.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 203.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 22c | 193.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 22c | 178.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 8c | 156.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 24c | 140.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 71c | 139.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 71c | 139.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 60c | 131.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 22c | 113.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 74c | 112.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 72c | 110.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Under | 24c | 103.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Under | 23c | 99.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 35c | 99.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 72c | 84.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Under | 25c | 79.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d45…30b6backed Over | 78c | 72.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over | 78c | 63.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 78c | 63.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 29c | 60.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 68c | 58.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…67e1backed Over | 78c | 53.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 78c | 50.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 64c | 49.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 76c | 47.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Over | 66c | 45.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 77c | 45.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 77c | 40.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 77c | 38.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 72c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 73c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Over | 77c | 25.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 78c | 25.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 64c | 24.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…6735backed Over | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over | 62c | 20.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…2c78backed Over | 60c | 19.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over | 59c | 19.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…801ebacked Over | 77c | 16.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb276…b0c9backed Over | 78c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5this page
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Torino FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.