La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ce527a154083174fc3f4f9a526554e9142e2de5ecbd72b71d4c8d2b9da89d5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 22,668$11,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,381.06 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 46c | 15,900$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,585.99 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 59c | 7,826$4,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.47 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 49c | 5,804$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 4,905$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.63 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 4c | 2,600$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 4c | 2,200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 66c | 1,007$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.82 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 4c | 875$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 41c | 807.23$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.96 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 41c | 683.4$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.18 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 634.62$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.29 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 55c | 249.89$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Over | 59c | 246.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 189.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.95 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 40c | 114$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 41c | 92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 41c | 52.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 58c | 51.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +249.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Under | 53c | 42.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…1276backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…f908backed Under | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Under | 54c | 33.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Over | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Over | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Over | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…ff0abacked Over | 60c | 23.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 62c | 20.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1c…d51abacked Under | 52c | 20.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Over | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…df24backed Over | 60c | 16.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.