La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe266f9e53393291a1603983aef856d9d6a1394f7e2de9f9ce11f8e65cf8b3f78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 3c | 2,200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Under | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 1c | 1,800$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 32c | 1,220$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 5c | 600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 556.46$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.14 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 7c | 285.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +304.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 68c | 165.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Over | 32c | 156.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 31c | 147.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Under | 9c | 113.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 67c | 94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Under | 79c | 76.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Over | 56c | 61.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 38c | 39.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…9587backed Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 37c | 35.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 68c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…a25cbacked Under | 66c | 30.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.