Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd56b102923ba876b1a27695f79bff77c8df2c5ad05fc55996bd862fe47034117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a0f…69b2backed No | 56c | 12,802$7,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,209.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 5,878$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 1,370$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.52 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 10c | 1,023$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 31c | 507$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.08 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 3c | 398.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Yes | 36c | 376$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 205.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 54c | 130.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…1782backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Yes | 43c | 70.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 57c | 63.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 42c | 54.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Yes | 41c | 54.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Yes | 40c | 44.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 58c | 38.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…024abacked Yes | 31c | 37.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 41c | 36.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed No | 57c | 29.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 38c | 27.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 77c | 26.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…65afbacked Yes | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…d794backed No | 69c | 21.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 57c | 20.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 20.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked No | 70c | 15.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-03?No won
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.