TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc933…5366backed Under63c25,000$15,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,749.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under64c8,664$5,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,583.5490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over37c5,400$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.999625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b0…60e7backed Over37c4,146$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over37c4,137$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,591.284,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over37c3,060$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.879133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8906546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over34c2,920$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.14344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over37c1,946$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.953345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over37c1,878$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.291735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over36c1,499$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.6438729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over37c1,458$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.5453246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.8910850%54 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over36c1,100$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.732560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Over37c1,031$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c03…b633backed Under54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over37c812.63$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.966141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Over46c563.98$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.511566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe38…f858backed Over37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.54850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over35c499.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9923452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over37c431.9$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.125248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over37c264$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3223250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16024052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c230.34$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.93,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under63c214$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under61c210$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1783640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1385366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e1…5924backed Under9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd483…6365backed Under63c179.47$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.941526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Under65c153.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002853.6%15 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over54c152$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.927447.3%35 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under64c141$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.241573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.33per pick40cpaid+106.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under64c136$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+135.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under63c131$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.532334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Over36c126.85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.261457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over36c110.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6811427.2%31 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under64c106$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.843548.6%17 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.263461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Under63c99.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Under63c93$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.591050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under63c87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.812650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Over37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.08955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Under63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over37c74.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6424047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under47c72.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.235650%28 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under64c68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.522445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.575451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Under64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under64c62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.681643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.27749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.823432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5619345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Under63c54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.021040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under64c52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.283748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88bb…8d2cbacked Under65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.58241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Under64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3217643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f8…667fbacked Over37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over37c48.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6422638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Under64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under65c44.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d49…c438backed Over36c44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.865621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6719544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5417036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c9…5010backed Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Over37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…de52backed Over36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Over36c39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.961872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2614…1000backed Over36c39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.463554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over43c37.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6317537.1%65 W · 110 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Over55c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Over36c36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.041376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Over36c36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.041040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over37c34.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.584131.7%13 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Over55c33.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.873655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9255…87a4backed Over36c32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.48757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd628…c85dbacked Over39c31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.911926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.917744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Over37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Over36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa03…eea2backed Under64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210248%49 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over36c29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.561758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2949…76bcbacked Over37c29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.271464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over37c28.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9630842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Over36c28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.92757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e78…fcb4backed Over36c28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92bf…0297backed Over36c28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.921060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7819461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb7d…d9dfbacked Under63c25.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821250%6 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ec…c4e5backed Under64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick63cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9043…af14backed Under63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152560%15 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.