La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86e5ca1100d44b0b2bc6474b1919a9a6e2143219311a2e95ace631b2ea17c77f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Betis Balompiéof Real Betis Balompié, Getafe CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Getafe CF | 68c | 4,310$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.45 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Real Betis Balompié | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Real Betis Balompié | 50c | 995.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.46 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Real Betis Balompié | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Real Betis Balompié | 26c | 622.04$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.93 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Getafe CF | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Getafe CF | 62c | 383.36$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.97 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Real Betis Balompié | 28c | 311.13$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.13 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Getafe CF | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Real Betis Balompié | 27c | 271.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Real Betis Balompié | 28c | 235.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.71 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Real Betis Balompié | 28c | 212.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.59 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Real Betis Balompié | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Real Betis Balompié | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Real Betis Balompié | 29c | 171.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Real Betis Balompié | 45c | 168.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 28c | 164.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Real Betis Balompié | 27c | 148$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Getafe CF | 58c | 143$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Getafe CF | 72c | 139.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Getafe CF | 73c | 130.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Getafe CF | 72c | 128.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Real Betis Balompié | 36c | 112.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Getafe CF | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Real Betis Balompié | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Getafe CF | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Getafe CF | 56c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Getafe CF | 73c | 56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Real Betis Balompié | 27c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Real Betis Balompié | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Getafe CF | 73c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Real Betis Balompié | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Real Betis Balompié | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Real Betis Balompié | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Getafe CF | 73c | 33.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Getafe CF | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Real Betis Balompié | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Real Betis Balompié | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Real Betis Balompié | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Real Betis Balompié | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Real Betis Balompié | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed Getafe CF | 72c | 17.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Getafe CF | 70c | 14.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.