La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf034add9140bb592756fffa5707f0a9f7ba9cb5fe03dcd0a36e23ff33bcd09bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 2,198$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.9 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.64 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Over | 69c | 1,451$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.49 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 31c | 957.72$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.89 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 444$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 68c | 438.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 421.81$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…f858backed Over | 18c | 396$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 21c | 250.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.89 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 249.28$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…cf16backed Under | 69c | 213.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…b427backed Under | 73c | 212.49$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.12 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Under | 69c | 201.12$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 67c | 149.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 76c | 117$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 72c | 115.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Under | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…07fdbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.