La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47b3ae9d4b58b62519c392be6cdb66b2fb78b83cf483d0835d6ea234a2decc05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 58c | 29,452$17,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,369.84 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 40c | 999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 990.96$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.75 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f74…558dbacked No | 62c | 586.17$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 255.06$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 58c | 226.19$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 226.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 39c | 177.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…ad59backed No | 62c | 132.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed No | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked No | 60c | 95.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 39c | 84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Yes | 30c | 80.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 38c | 71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 38c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 62c | 32.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will CD Leganés vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.