La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbfe32c44e0d7abb2f45a6d67f396e06fc68dbebcee09dc1cc6dec96269281ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5779…489fbacked Yes | 72c | 794.97$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 54c | 609.6$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.01 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 414.88$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.83 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 12c | 374.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 355.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.03 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 33c | 305.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 234.67$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 44c | 112$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 32c | 87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 32c | 77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Yes | 32c | 73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 39c | 69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 40c | 49.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 26c | 39.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed No | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed No | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked No | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked No | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed No | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed No | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Leganés win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.