La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b3627632082746b5905eb91fbb95a40bec45f06d50113abd5966c721d82af75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 770.86$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.84 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 479.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 26c | 402.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 36c | 355$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.2 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 67c | 332.06$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 243.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.06 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Yes | 31c | 125$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed No | 70c | 119$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Yes | 29c | 104$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 27c | 83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Yes | 30c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked No | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will CD Leganés vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Leganés win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.