Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Murray State Racers vs. UIC Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x193671c4a7cd48ad8afdbcd0d9ac48fa74249985891d33fd578d4444e8ec5ff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Murray State Racersof Murray State Racers, UIC Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UIC Flames | 34c | 2,842$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Murray State Racers | 67c | 1,836$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.78 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UIC Flames | 12c | 1,437$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed UIC Flames | 1c | 1,334$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked UIC Flames | 30c | 1,279$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Murray State Racers | 61c | 1,202$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UIC Flames | 23c | 1,004$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.35 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UIC Flames | 29c | 970.29$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.19 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UIC Flames | 16c | 936.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Murray State Racers | 66c | 768.12$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.12 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +48%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed UIC Flames | 3c | 710.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Murray State Racers | 75c | 669.79$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.47 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Murray State Racers | 72c | 621.03$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.61 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Murray State Racers | 68c | 450.98$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Murray State Racers | 78c | 421.56$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UIC Flames | 30c | 403.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed UIC Flames | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Murray State Racers | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked UIC Flames | 29c | 375$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…10b0backed Murray State Racers | 54c | 356.87$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Murray State Racers | 75c | 344.09$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed UIC Flames | 36c | 278.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UIC Flames | 6c | 225.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Murray State Racers | 58c | 220.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Murray State Racers | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked UIC Flames | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Murray State Racers | 66c | 193.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked UIC Flames | 24c | 179.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked UIC Flames | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UIC Flames | 42c | 146.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Murray State Racers | 66c | 141.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Murray State Racers | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Murray State Racers | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…20c0backed Murray State Racers | 79c | 128.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UIC Flames | 18c | 100.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UIC Flames | 38c | 100.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Murray State Racers | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed UIC Flames | 37c | 68.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3f…3badbacked UIC Flames | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UIC Flames | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed UIC Flames | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Murray State Racers | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed UIC Flames | 39c | 41.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Murray State Racers | 55c | 40.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked UIC Flames | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Murray State Racers | 68c | 28.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…5a00backed UIC Flames | 53c | 22.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…d7a3backed UIC Flames | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Murray State Racers | 56c | 18.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Murray State Racers | 62c | 16.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.