Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. PSV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x934e0a901baa06a33c28bdd672ad694d3afede3b7f665f65a37dd106cdb0fb83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 35c | 10,615$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Under | 0c | 7,313$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 66c | 4,730$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 42c | 2,364$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 65c | 2,200$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 1,943$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.89 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 1,899$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.11 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 35c | 1,080$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.06 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 65c | 1,042$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 62c | 1,009$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.86 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 989.64$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.89 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Under | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 42c | 408.48$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.82 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 64c | 406.36$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 65c | 374.43$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.05 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0d…cce6backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 35c | 294.11$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 65c | 254.94$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Over | 62c | 232$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 37c | 217.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 64c | 191.77$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 65c | 155$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 65c | 129.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 63c | 91.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 64c | 88.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…07adbacked Under | 29c | 72.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 69c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 62c | 56.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Over | 60c | 40.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 35c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…9bf3backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 65c | 32.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…9fa0backed Over | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 70c | 28.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…cb31backed Over | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 65c | 27.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 65c | 25.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Over | 65c | 23.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…4804backed Over | 56c | 21.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. PSV: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.