Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. PSV: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x785bd4534ff709d63feea0270ba1d391c4b977de5d712e850a00fbc44d409853
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 72c | 40,361$28,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,501.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Over | 1c | 19,015$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 18,079$4,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 27c | 13,463$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640.05 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 10,569$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 77c | 7,032$5,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.39 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 43c | 4,435$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.13 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Under | 66c | 4,018$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 67c | 3,016$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 30c | 2,790$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.66 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 29c | 1,895$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.8 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 42c | 1,777$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.19 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 29c | 1,313$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.26 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 1,211$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 27c | 1,102$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 19c | 786.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.38 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Over | 31c | 615.07$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 58c | 461.73$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.93 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 57c | 443.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.92 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Under | 59c | 356.41$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Under | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 73c | 191.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 62c | 168.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 32c | 148$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 16c | 138$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 30c | 132.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 58c | 112$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe7…40ddbacked Over | 26c | 97.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 56c | 81.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 44c | 74.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Over | 43c | 73.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 32c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 67c | 60.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…9bf3backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Over | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…7589backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 43c | 35.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 58c | 32.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…6dd4backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. PSV: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.