Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. PSV: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d244963fb815994505280aa1e9c2c54a49367df754dae5d7b35e9cfaefbbb2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 15c | 4,691$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.98 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 13c | 850.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Under | 16c | 700.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 15c | 443.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 14c | 441.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 15c | 406.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 15c | 218$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 15c | 164.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 15c | 112$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 15c | 73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…f53bbacked Under | 17c | 66.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1493…630cbacked Under | 17c | 62.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…38a3backed Under | 17c | 62.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…eff8backed Under | 17c | 60.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…a2d1backed Under | 17c | 60.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…4d5bbacked Under | 17c | 60.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…c890backed Under | 17c | 60.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…33efbacked Under | 17c | 60.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4ef1backed Under | 17c | 60.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…5870backed Under | 17c | 60.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165c…6c0dbacked Under | 17c | 60.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…d8f4backed Under | 17c | 60.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…f150backed Under | 17c | 60.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…9422backed Under | 18c | 58.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…9bf3backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. PSV: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.