TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$336,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$342,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,935 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over59c291,919$171,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,752.781369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under42c100,000$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,999.983423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c59,716$24,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,310.781,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c56,705$23,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,249.0562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under41c55,086$22,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,585.191040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under42c25,385$10,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,601.3771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over58c9,998$5,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.246454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Under41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0502250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Under42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c4,437$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.871,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8406060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over59c1,047$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.138447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Under41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4105538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Over59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4104252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under41c854$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.149553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3285133.3%17 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3366756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under42c747.48$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over58c706$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.5217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Under42c547.1$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Over80c521.65$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.675461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16823260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under41c393.2$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4459348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over59c392.12$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.773951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Under42c333.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6477…cc5bbacked Over60c323.66$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12617756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12613655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12610952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over58c299.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1268263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under21c297.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.533938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over58c240$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.87163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over58c240$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.811556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.611256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.69355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.620860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.68460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over48c160.07$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.733070%21 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+63.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe903…f8e1backed Over59c152.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.54785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+82.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x394a…536ebacked Over60c141.12$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Over58c128.08$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.21977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+59.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd39…5f76backed Under41c121.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.44562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.48355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.44656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.48355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.45364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.48755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.47655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.49355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.44557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.49954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.48858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over58c113.96$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.864759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ecc…6b37backed Under58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce89…2b5ebacked Under44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under43c88.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1635650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over58c86.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.389355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x396d…2fd2backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Under40c78.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.721040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf368…c72fbacked Under26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under66c76.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.173348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Under36c74.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+78.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under16c74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5212343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under42c71.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.932532%8 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.410652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Under65c60.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.29354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.24062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.210158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.25356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.24656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.27857.7%45 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.24259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.210556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.29158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.210756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.210055%55 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.29655.2%53 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.27452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over59c50.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9110348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under39c49.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.498355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Under42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over79c45.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.454742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Under69c45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.051471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.