TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under60c11,857$7,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,112.9771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,399.946454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under56c8,998$5,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,062.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Under75c8,078$6,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,093.131181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick76cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c6,735$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,347.761,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c4,155$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.681,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2806060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2801625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under74c1,924$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4282268.2%15 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Under69c1,832$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick73cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over68c1,456$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.881968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,217$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.2862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5126756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over36c505$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Under59c457.82$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.631040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c428.57$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.576842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25623260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over37c394$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.223951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under56c342.39$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Under65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19217756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19213655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19210952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over36c299.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.998263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over38c299.9$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9427244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under65c291$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.151442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over36c240$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.67163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over36c240$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.611556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over43c237.75$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.524052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.339145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1288653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Over63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Under54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under73c190$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.71838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over36c180$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.211256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over36c180$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.29355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over36c180$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.28460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over36c180$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.220860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Under63c177.91$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Under63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over51c147$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.673070%21 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+63.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over77c130.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.17648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Over37c127.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+59.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c123.59$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.859348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Under58c121.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.396245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.84562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.88355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.84656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.88355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.88755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.84759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.87655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.89355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.89954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.88858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.84557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over36c119.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.85364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over49c111.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.674742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…48e4backed Under51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over48c108.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.331850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over56c101$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.441258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Under65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5480%0 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+62.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over36c80$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.25052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over36c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.810652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over63c66.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5933938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over55c65.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.112343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over36c61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.041250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.49354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.410158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.45356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.44656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.47857.7%45 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.44259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.410556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.49158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.410756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.410055%55 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.49655.2%53 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.47452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Under66c58.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.82933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over36c52.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.364062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbeca…a1b7backed Under63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over77c44.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x817c…9e7cbacked Over46c43.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under64c38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.322540%10 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under42c37.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8335650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over36c35.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22c7…f3b7backed Over50c35.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…5830backed Over51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over36c33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.121376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+71.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x86b6…2c52backed Over38c32.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.