Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8ec91a05b874544c1d09e3455835a868ae969f230ee2649d3c0859870086a8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympique Lyonnaisof AS Monaco FC, Olympique Lyonnais
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked AS Monaco FC | 27c | 32,108$8,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,820 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 10,002$7,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.49 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Olympique Lyonnais | 73c | 8,777$6,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.56 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Olympique Lyonnais | 76c | 2,404$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.02 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Olympique Lyonnais | 76c | 838$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.12 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 240$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 240$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed AS Monaco FC | 25c | 167.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AS Monaco FC | 20c | 132.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Olympique Lyonnais | 76c | 121$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked AS Monaco FC | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Olympique Lyonnais | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Olympique Lyonnais | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed AS Monaco FC | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 57 | 78.9%45 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.