Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c82241b7482d0012bf1ecc85081e8467c887fa290e3cbb29c9836e3809821ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $866,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,280,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $866,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 19c | 270,488$50,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,628.01 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 43,427$6,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,634.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 18c | 30,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 20c | 20,706$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134.11 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 20c | 17,547$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.47 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 18c | 10,523$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.17 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 18c | 6,158$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.83 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 2,792$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.37 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed No | 20c | 2,650$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 9c | 2,317$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 21c | 2,158$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.04 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 19c | 1,414$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.85 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 19c | 1,404$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.03 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c81…eda9backed Yes | 80c | 962.06$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 78c | 614.66$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 19c | 450$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 80c | 446$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 13c | 381.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 19c | 379.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc43d…8f2bbacked Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 80c | 371.65$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 21c | 360.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…3b90backed No | 10c | 360$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 6c | 334.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 79c | 299.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 8c | 251.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 20c | 237.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 13c | 230.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked No | 20c | 191$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 80c | 180$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 80c | 161.25$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 19c | 149.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 17c | 148.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 9c | 140.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 19c | 126.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…02c8backed No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…bc16backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed No | 19c | 119$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 20c | 117.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 20c | 113.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 17c | 106.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 19c | 105.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…3d82backed Yes | 80c | 101.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…d27cbacked Yes | 79c | 101.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…fb98backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked No | 20c | 94.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked No | 19c | 88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 19c | 84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…4450backed Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…4e17backed Yes | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 80c | 62.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d247backed Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed No | 20c | 57.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 80c | 52.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…58b0backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Yes | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…910dbacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…9519backed Yes | 80c | 13.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7b0cbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.