Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Morehead State Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x140cd57158571cacc174b627547cf566ff4accf9aa4586409e5f8ee892199919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lindenwood Lionsof Morehead State Eagles, Lindenwood Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Morehead State Eagles | 8c | 5,813$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.37 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Morehead State Eagles | 18c | 3,814$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.18 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Morehead State Eagles | 27c | 3,516$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Morehead State Eagles | 21c | 2,571$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Morehead State Eagles | 15c | 2,401$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.6 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Morehead State Eagles | 2c | 2,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Morehead State Eagles | 12c | 987$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lindenwood Lions | 80c | 902.19$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.94 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lindenwood Lions | 75c | 870.64$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Morehead State Eagles | 15c | 601.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Morehead State Eagles | 13c | 554.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lindenwood Lions | 73c | 544.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.38 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Morehead State Eagles | 11c | 525.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Morehead State Eagles | 12c | 402.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Morehead State Eagles | 29c | 331.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Morehead State Eagles | 19c | 301.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Morehead State Eagles | 16c | 299.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Morehead State Eagles | 14c | 276.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Morehead State Eagles | 27c | 274.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Morehead State Eagles | 12c | 216.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Lindenwood Lions | 77c | 181.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Morehead State Eagles | 20c | 173.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Morehead State Eagles | 12c | 160.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Morehead State Eagles | 12c | 141.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Morehead State Eagles | 25c | 133$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lindenwood Lions | 69c | 124.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Lindenwood Lions | 73c | 102.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…343fbacked Morehead State Eagles | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Lindenwood Lions | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…960bbacked Morehead State Eagles | 41c | 39.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lindenwood Lions | 75c | 26.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Lindenwood Lions | 75c | 21.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Lindenwood Lions | 73c | 16.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morehead State Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lionsthis page
- Morehead State Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 149.5Under won
- Morehead State Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.