NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x638297cb2aca8331499cc94afdc190457d005538097d65add96fb06fc42004f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $567,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $573,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Penguins | 46c | 150,507$69,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,336.64 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 148,437$81,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,636.67 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 102,269$55,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,273.75 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Penguins | 45c | 100,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,000 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 35,455$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500.25 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 45c | 30,885$13,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,986.5 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Penguins | 45c | 28,644$12,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,754.2 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 26,237$14,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,231.5 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Penguins | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,799.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Blue Jackets | 54c | 17,615$9,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,512.1 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 13c | 10,130$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,815.69 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 45c | 8,830$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.66 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 21c | 8,776$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,921.32 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Blue Jackets | 54c | 7,129$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.74 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Penguins | 20c | 5,604$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 5,062$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.93 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jackets | 60c | 4,269$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.71 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins | 44c | 4,204$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.55 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Penguins | 24c | 4,120$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.88 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins | 46c | 4,028$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.12 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Penguins | 62c | 4,014$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.68 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Blue Jackets | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Penguins | 47c | 3,528$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.16 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Penguins | 35c | 3,155$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.9 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…fc9dbacked Blue Jackets | 1c | 2,958$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 2,735$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.09 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Penguins | 47c | 2,669$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.57 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 45c | 2,647$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.55 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets | 76c | 2,616$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.61 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 2,593$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Penguins | 45c | 2,507$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.36 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 2,242$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.36 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jackets | 78c | 2,230$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.56 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blue Jackets | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Penguins | 47c | 2,140$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.44 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Penguins | 9c | 2,140$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Blue Jackets | 3c | 2,100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…c4d9backed Blue Jackets | 1c | 2,017$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Penguins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Penguins | 51c | 1,806$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.5 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Penguins | 47c | 1,662$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.7 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Penguins | 46c | 1,591$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.28 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Blue Jackets | 34c | 1,561$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.84 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jackets | 67c | 1,533$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.11 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Penguins | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jackets | 54c | 1,377$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.13 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Penguins | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 1,287$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.68 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Penguins | 51c | 1,187$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.66 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Blue Jackets | 57c | 1,141$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.74 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 1,100$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.42 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Blue Jackets | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets | 67c | 1,043$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Penguins | 46c | 1,034$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.22 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…ee54backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 1,026$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Penguins | 10c | 1,011$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.88 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 1,001$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.42 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blue Jackets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Penguins | 47c | 1,000$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.28 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Penguins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Blue Jackets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Penguins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Blue Jackets | 74c | 973.22$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.17 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Penguins | 45c | 915.56$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.56 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8757…872dbacked Penguins | 13c | 906.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +233.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 888.59$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.02 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jackets | 72c | 836.67$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.73 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Penguins | 25c | 832$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.66 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Blue Jackets | 59c | 816.19$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.57 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Penguins | 30c | 812.3$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.3 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Penguins | 45c | 778$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.9 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 750.01$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.77 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Penguins | 31c | 734.21$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.21 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 45c | 727.87$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.33 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 6c | 669.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.86 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Penguins | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Penguins | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 605.45$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jackets | 73c | 593.66$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.65 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jackets | 63c | 563$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.27 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 555$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.15 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146f…9e13backed Penguins | 46c | 506.65$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 46c | 500$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Penguins | 26c | 477.85$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.16 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed Blue Jackets | 10c | 460.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…01d5backed Penguins | 46c | 456.52$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8f…a587backed Penguins | 46c | 445$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Penguins | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Penguins | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…86a1backed Penguins | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…3310backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 440$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…8322backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 440$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6644…fc11backed Penguins | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 434$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Blue Jackets | 6c | 414.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…bf12backed Penguins | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsthis page
- Penguins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.