NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x459a4d9a19f37a0b2b9b2a73476d01450ca24c2ae647b9049ced8f0e12911371
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 53c | 92,080$48,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,160.99 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 47c | 26,443$12,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,428.07 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 54c | 20,516$11,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,437.44 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 47c | 9,468$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 7,237$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.05 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 6,290$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.29 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 46c | 5,956$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.81 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Under | 47c | 4,200$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Under | 46c | 4,012$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.52 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Under | 47c | 3,102$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.94 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 3,012$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.81 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 1,717$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.84 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 46c | 1,565$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.9 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 1,532$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.72 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 1,148$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.56 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 46c | 1,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Under | 50c | 924.89$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.23 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 54c | 664$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.92 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 46c | 530.5$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.59 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Under | 47c | 467$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.49 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 328$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 275.62$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 47c | 268.09$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 267.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.33 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 46c | 78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 77.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 47c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 46c | 56.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…061bbacked Under | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…7405backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c27…b3c6backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Under | 48c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 64c | 40.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…0951backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825f…0997backed Under | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Under | 47c | 35.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 46c | 30.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03af…4c28backed Under | 47c | 25.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4803…b382backed Under | 47c | 23.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Under | 47c | 22.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…158dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. Blue JacketsPenguins won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.