Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a6b02e69534d9b9b51008272b8f41f64201cc0178c1ec48c2b3b2b24850eb00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 50c | 69,284$34,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,738.03 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…6b51backed Yes | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 50c | 25,840$12,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,920.18 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 49c | 13,607$6,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,689.2 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 51c | 8,000$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.22 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 51c | 7,079$3,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.45 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 6,381$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.22 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Yes | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 4,135$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.51 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 3,495$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.51 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.41 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,969$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…16a4backed Yes | 16c | 1,883$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 24c | 1,320$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.2 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 51c | 1,311$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.57 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…6d87backed No | 48c | 1,185$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…325ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,026$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 48c | 980.76$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.77 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 973.88$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.38 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 908.53$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.73 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 52c | 767$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.16 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 747.55$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…d51ebacked No | 52c | 720$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf7…71c8backed Yes | 49c | 710$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 51c | 699.98$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.99 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 49c | 685.56$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.64 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…3203backed Yes | 49c | 680$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ec…0ce2backed No | 52c | 670$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 41c | 649$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.66 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 68c | 604.89$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 42c | 567$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.84 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 49c | 561.39$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.32 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 6c | 555.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 49c | 464.3$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.79 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 51c | 444$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 51c | 405$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 395.31$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.61 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 39c | 375.28$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 68c | 371.75$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.83 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…4c58backed Yes | 38c | 368.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 50c | 365$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 59c | 342.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes | 40c | 330.28$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 51c | 320$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked No | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes | 35c | 286.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 38c | 279.26$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 273.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 38c | 270$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 38c | 264.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed No | 29c | 258.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 40c | 245.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…719cbacked No | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 54c | 227.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Yes | 77c | 220.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 59c | 210.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 206.89$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Yes | 48c | 184.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed No | 32c | 176$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 50c | 165.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 71c | 160.36$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 50c | 160$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 60c | 157$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 49c | 143.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 49c | 136$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…6964backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…9638backed Yes | 36c | 132.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 15c | 128.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.