Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c9e48442fdb227703b8f9ba9b64e5681d1b3b61165e05c44f00cb8ee03077c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 7,434$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.01 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.98 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 80c | 1,574$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.8 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…6ab2backed Yes | 20c | 850$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…16a4backed Yes | 11c | 827.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Yes | 17c | 582.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 574.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 10c | 557.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…a0e2backed Yes | 17c | 348.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 255.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Yes | 7c | 240.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Yes | 18c | 235.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0252…38d7backed Yes | 7c | 202.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 201.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 19c | 159.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 112$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 99.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 21c | 93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 67.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f23abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.