Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6edaff0537feb89f6dfca6bb0a392c5cabf0331f21c20b7cb4b6dda8cf5c8cd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 49c | 29,682$14,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,248.31 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 12,806$6,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,533.1 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 45c | 11,975$5,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,389.75 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Yes | 56c | 9,671$5,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,249.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 45c | 3,822$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.08 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 3,158$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.8 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 3,000$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.96 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed No | 44c | 2,215$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed No | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 45c | 2,099$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.35 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 47c | 1,874$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 1,826$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.56 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 56c | 1,782$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.13 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 56c | 1,776$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.26 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 55c | 1,713$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.53 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 54c | 1,371$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 44c | 1,205$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.25 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Yes | 58c | 1,157$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 56c | 1,025$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 66c | 955$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.54 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed No | 43c | 939.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 57c | 876.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 48c | 843.78$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.88 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 55c | 764.43$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.1 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fa…ec67backed No | 45c | 750$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf7…71c8backed Yes | 56c | 730$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 42c | 720.04$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.93 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…ca5fbacked Yes | 56c | 690$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 678.79$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c2…5f79backed No | 45c | 670$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked No | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked No | 6c | 646.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 48c | 639.2$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.09 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 44c | 607.12$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.13 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked No | 46c | 586.95$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 55c | 506.41$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.97 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed No | 44c | 505.73$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 69c | 501.71$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.9 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 47c | 498.11$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 45c | 484$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed No | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 44c | 475$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…bf12backed Yes | 61c | 466.9$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed No | 45c | 463.38$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.52 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 47c | 448$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed No | 45c | 414.36$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.88 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 54c | 371.88$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.46 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 54c | 370.61$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.48 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…838fbacked Yes | 59c | 370.34$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 28c | 360.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.71 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked No | 44c | 330$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 70c | 311$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 55c | 292.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 45c | 271.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 49c | 271.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 45c | 269.34$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3904backed No | 57c | 222.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 57c | 220.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 56c | 215.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Yes | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 53c | 210.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 45c | 205.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 203.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.47 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 29c | 189.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 44c | 180.59$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Yes | 55c | 174.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 172.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…c348backed No | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed No | 71c | 157$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…e058backed Yes | 63c | 133.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…be27backed No | 45c | 131.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Yes | 11c | 128.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 57c | 124.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 53c | 120.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…62d3backed Yes | 56c | 119.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?No won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.