Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b260688010efc080b4e02b30015f273a8f73fcc6ae4ad2da86825b0843fa558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 20,564$16,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.71 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 10,040$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.07 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 19c | 8,064$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.16 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 20c | 4,518$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.25 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 4,050$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Yes | 11c | 3,504$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Yes | 18c | 2,049$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.08 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 20c | 1,257$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 18c | 1,100$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…ae42backed Yes | 11c | 1,100$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 993.29$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.52 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…d5a6backed Yes | 16c | 921.13$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 19c | 876.66$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…3bd9backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4da3…68cdbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa0…833bbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 80c | 473.28$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…033fbacked Yes | 17c | 460.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 80c | 444$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 18c | 400$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 18c | 367.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 287$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Yes | 11c | 272.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Yes | 16c | 257.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…02fabacked Yes | 20c | 202.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed Yes | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…2130backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 19c | 199.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 15c | 194.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 19c | 185.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06b…d793backed Yes | 19c | 181.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 20c | 165.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 19c | 137$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…a0e2backed Yes | 16c | 133.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 126.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 18c | 106.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…1417backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 15c | 97.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…71f2backed Yes | 20c | 96.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 19c | 82.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…b6f4backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 19c | 74.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 20c | 73.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 19c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 19c | 65.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…3dccbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…eff8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?No won
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.