Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa445f349de2e9bdd63ef8ea031ec01a2edaf1a0caa1639b7906bca7db164ae95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 48c | 35,000$16,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,201.32 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 52c | 21,696$11,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,282.04 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 6,994$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 3,116$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.18 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 19c | 2,908$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.26 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed No | 60c | 1,281$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 47c | 1,234$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.05 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 53c | 1,212$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.17 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 49c | 800$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked No | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 467.81$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.85 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Yes | 49c | 465.12$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.21 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 52c | 454.21$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.19 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 427$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.77 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 418$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 52c | 380.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.64 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 49c | 378.46$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.01 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 9c | 333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 52c | 286.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.44 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 265.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 240$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 47c | 205$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6738…13eebacked Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 40c | 126$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 46c | 118$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked No | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 32c | 93.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed No | 52c | 46.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed No | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed No | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 50c | 33.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed No | 39c | 33.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked No | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 31.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 42c | 28.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Yes | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 56c | 26.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 54c | 26.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Yes | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 52c | 25.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed No | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Yes | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Yes | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 48c | 22.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.