Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa58163b0eff98ad79430c93295465cbe56ed7dbe1a7e2df4ccf89d700d2469eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 1c | 4,907$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Yes | 28c | 844.83$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 591.52$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 27c | 243$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 30c | 203.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 180$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 30c | 169.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked No | 74c | 149$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 24c | 131$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Yes | 27c | 128$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked No | 73c | 116$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…ff9ebacked Yes | 28c | 102.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed No | 73c | 84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 75c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked No | 76c | 81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed No | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked No | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed No | 73c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Yes | 27c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed No | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed No | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked No | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked No | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.