Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43937644c4b68971db3ef42ce83578d2311c6a0e1a53294b818bb6d6499da4f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 13c | 2,623$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.49 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,020$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 76c | 689.7$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.53 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 28c | 134$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 27c | 134$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 24c | 129$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 112.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Yes | 27c | 108$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 27c | 104$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Yes | 27c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Yes | 27c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 56.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 36c | 54.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed No | 73c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed No | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed No | 73c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked No | 73c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 24c | 45.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 70c | 40.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed No | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 35.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed No | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked No | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed No | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked No | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked No | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed No | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.