UFC · resolved market
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x280af8e56697e236c8ed72b2598e4bfb73ef260f5fba3b46d85986137daac9e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charles Radtkeof Charles Radtke, Francisco Prado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $362,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Charles Radtke | 58c | 60,417$34,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,674.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Francisco Prado | 43c | 42,925$18,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,317.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Charles Radtke | 58c | 29,915$17,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,487.25 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Francisco Prado | 43c | 26,778$11,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,414.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Francisco Prado | 38c | 24,688$9,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,311.73 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Francisco Prado | 41c | 22,913$9,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,485.67 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Charles Radtke | 62c | 19,975$12,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,590.48 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Charles Radtke | 61c | 19,626$11,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,631.86 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Francisco Prado | 41c | 11,732$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.1 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Francisco Prado | 40c | 9,451$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.58 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Charles Radtke | 58c | 8,397$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.76 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Francisco Prado | 37c | 7,914$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.17 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Francisco Prado | 40c | 7,006$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.95 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Charles Radtke | 63c | 6,984$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.19 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Francisco Prado | 7c | 6,970$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.88 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Francisco Prado | 14c | 6,715$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.16 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Francisco Prado | 37c | 5,800$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.98 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Charles Radtke | 71c | 5,453$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.23 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Charles Radtke | 62c | 5,332$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.03 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Francisco Prado | 6c | 5,266$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.31 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Charles Radtke | 60c | 4,454$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.06 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Francisco Prado | 38c | 4,434$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Francisco Prado | 11c | 3,411$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.51 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Charles Radtke | 62c | 3,245$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.01 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Francisco Prado | 37c | 3,209$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.28 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Francisco Prado | 14c | 2,740$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.57 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Charles Radtke | 58c | 2,732$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.96 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Francisco Prado | 9c | 2,576$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.11 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Charles Radtke | 59c | 2,546$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.84 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Francisco Prado | 15c | 2,345$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Charles Radtke | 61c | 2,335$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.94 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Francisco Prado | 37c | 2,212$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.33 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Charles Radtke | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Charles Radtke | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Charles Radtke | 63c | 1,956$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.57 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Charles Radtke | 74c | 1,894$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.46 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Charles Radtke | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.45 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Francisco Prado | 13c | 1,590$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Charles Radtke | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.98 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Francisco Prado | 16c | 1,343$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Charles Radtke | 72c | 1,106$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.39 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Francisco Prado | 37c | 1,099$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.62 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Charles Radtke | 61c | 1,094$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.04 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Francisco Prado | 35c | 1,060$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.03 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Francisco Prado | 38c | 1,059$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…db86backed Francisco Prado | 44c | 1,058$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Charles Radtke | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Charles Radtke | 63c | 969.12$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.58 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Francisco Prado | 38c | 962.8$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.86 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Francisco Prado | 38c | 962.8$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Francisco Prado | 15c | 936.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…68bfbacked Francisco Prado | 42c | 919.48$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Francisco Prado | 38c | 914.66$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.57 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Charles Radtke | 61c | 800.59$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.23 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Charles Radtke | 62c | 793.34$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Charles Radtke | 63c | 776.03$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.13 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Francisco Prado | 38c | 734.77$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.21 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Francisco Prado | 39c | 715.1$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Francisco Prado | 11c | 688.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…3cafbacked Francisco Prado | 38c | 650.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Charles Radtke | 77c | 648.34$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Francisco Prado | 38c | 633.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Charles Radtke | 63c | 626.88$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.94 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…3192backed Francisco Prado | 11c | 602.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Charles Radtke | 23c | 593.87$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.28 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Charles Radtke | 62c | 561.54$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Francisco Prado | 38c | 522.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.48 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Charles Radtke | 59c | 508.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.63 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Francisco Prado | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Francisco Prado | 27c | 454.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Francisco Prado | 10c | 446.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Charles Radtke | 61c | 400.51$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.37 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Francisco Prado | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f1…1395backed Charles Radtke | 62c | 399.84$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Francisco Prado | 22c | 393.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Francisco Prado | 38c | 385.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Francisco Prado | 38c | 385.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Francisco Prado | 38c | 385.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf89…9492backed Charles Radtke | 63c | 352.01$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Francisco Prado | 22c | 349.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Charles Radtke | 63c | 339.9$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Francisco Prado | 14c | 329.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Francisco Prado | 8c | 309$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Francisco Prado | 38c | 307.82$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Charles Radtke | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked Francisco Prado | 40c | 295.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Charles Radtke | 58c | 292.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Francisco Prado | 38c | 288.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Charles Radtke | 78c | 286.35$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Charles Radtke | 48c | 284$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6d…723abacked Charles Radtke | 62c | 275.82$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Francisco Prado | 37c | 275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…9febbacked Francisco Prado | 28c | 270.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Francisco Prado | 37c | 263.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Francisco Prado | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Francisco Prado | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Francisco Prado | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Francisco Prado | 41c | 241.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d0…6ab2backed Charles Radtke | 62c | 231.78$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Francisco Prado | 37c | 231.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.