Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc75c46fd0243b4a8bf49abcddd583d8504ef9cbc978344eeb27b8de1a7d82ecd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,465$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.72 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 2,359$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.76 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 20c | 1,317$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.37 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 79c | 1,061$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 20c | 996.75$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 79c | 669.02$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.49 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 599.46$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 80c | 560$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 490.11$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 476.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 450$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 19c | 394.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…cb0fbacked No | 80c | 290$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 21c | 203.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…1daabacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Yes | 15c | 155.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…4e8bbacked Yes | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 19c | 130.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 127.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 68c | 126.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 53c | 125.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 119.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 75.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 22c | 75.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 70c | 71.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 33c | 61.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…34d0backed Yes | 20c | 51.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 50.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad05…fb3bbacked Yes | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 45c | 42.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…60c0backed No | 69c | 40.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 68c | 36.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…73dbbacked Yes | 45c | 27.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 42c | 25.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 78c | 25.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 25.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 70c | 24.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 76c | 17.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 79c | 16.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked No | 79c | 13.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.