Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb158eb0b5fa64ee038838c353429d5845c9efaae3e25ccdc42b6e89eeaa4e1ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 46c | 15,367$7,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,068.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 54c | 10,972$5,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,046.76 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 46c | 6,393$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 18c | 5,097$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.5 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 3,465$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.95 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…6a77backed Yes | 4c | 3,282$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…4168backed Yes | 17c | 2,048$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 2,048$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.63 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,276$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.94 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 20c | 1,175$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 22cpaid | +705.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 18c | 1,110$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 25c | 894.37$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.82 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 664.41$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.75 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 50c | 653$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.41 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 17c | 646.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 51c | 587.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.7 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 18c | 449.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 17c | 445.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 17c | 386.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 386.48$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 19c | 382.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…49babacked Yes | 4c | 366.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes | 18c | 343$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 4c | 252$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 72c | 250$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 17c | 228.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed No | 57c | 182.29$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 55c | 181.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 17c | 168.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 13c | 156.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 17c | 156.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…3ba8backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed No | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Yes | 52c | 76.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…3688backed Yes | 17c | 76.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 70c | 71.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 17c | 69.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 17c | 69.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 20c | 55.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 67c | 54.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 51.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 48.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a6…db30backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 61c | 39.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 44c | 38.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed No | 48c | 31.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 48c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…386fbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked No | 52c | 26.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 61c | 26.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.