Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ea319af55cbfc8ffbf7d596bdddb9626c2caf742c070ff6a6a78b92add55e1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 45c | 2,663$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked No | 45c | 2,012$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.08 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 43c | 1,873$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.97 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 63c | 1,661$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.38 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 57c | 1,490$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.58 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 77c | 1,077$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.4 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,053$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.79 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 52c | 884.17$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.4 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 828$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.44 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 46c | 590.83$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Yes | 18c | 550$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 36c | 513$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.27 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c11…e56dbacked Yes | 54c | 477.56$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 77c | 471.89$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.61 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 57c | 350.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 44c | 341.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 333$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.56 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 49c | 223.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Yes | 53c | 189.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 56c | 169.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 51c | 143.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 56c | 139.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed No | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 30c | 138.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 49c | 138.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 46c | 128$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 54c | 108.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…1093backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 81.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 51c | 80.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 45c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…4a7abacked Yes | 57c | 52.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 56c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…6442backed Yes | 57c | 45.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…60a7backed Yes | 56c | 42.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 45c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…3740backed Yes | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 49c | 36.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…675cbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 52c | 28.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…1daabacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…2134backed Yes | 57c | 20.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…459abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…618fbacked Yes | 58c | 19.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Udinese vs. Atalanta end in a draw?No won
- Will Udinese win on 2025-11-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.