Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0053562823a0ea5782fb0f5c1567ff70dbf216d16795feb16cfa5bbc2089f45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 3,411$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 3,100$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,178$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.39 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 28c | 1,055$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.76 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 80c | 1,050$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.03 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 64c | 900.51$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.91 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 51c | 864$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 787.21$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.62 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes | 75c | 743.55$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 50c | 647.21$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.6 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 33c | 557$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 19c | 509$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.29 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 387.45$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.36 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 20c | 330$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.78 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 36c | 330$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 19c | 314.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.71 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 19c | 249$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.69 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 18c | 243.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 52c | 214.62$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 48c | 214.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d6a0backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 18c | 182.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 20c | 119.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 19c | 110$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 62c | 106.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…2698backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed No | 29c | 85.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd1…3f93backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…4201backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…b8eebacked Yes | 54c | 61.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 21c | 59.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…d392backed No | 53c | 44.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Yes | 23c | 43.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 36c | 41.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 49c | 39.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…399ebacked No | 52c | 26.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-01?No won
- Will Udinese vs. Atalanta end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.