La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1db4353bf4c40b8c68e296249ec592f16694931b416f5720b10c9b6e95ed4b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 3,054$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.04 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b43…0f61backed Yes | 62c | 691.61$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 38c | 353.23$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 304.34$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Yes | 63c | 278.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 64c | 239.71$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…0bacbacked Yes | 60c | 235.86$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 44c | 227.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 49c | 217.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…c8ffbacked Yes | 59c | 160.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 64c | 153.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Yes | 60c | 149.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 137.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 39c | 126.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 40c | 123$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Yes | 63c | 116.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 37c | 112.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 138 | 26.8%37 W · 101 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc1…4ff3backed Yes | 62c | 99.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Yes | 56c | 96.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 60c | 90.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 40c | 85.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 38c | 84.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 47c | 84.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 50c | 81.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 62c | 74.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 62c | 68.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 425 | 58.4%248 W · 177 L | +31.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 21c | 61.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba37…dedcbacked Yes | 53c | 60.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1051…dd15backed Yes | 62c | 55.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 45c | 53.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes | 61c | 40.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…cdc3backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…1daabacked Yes | 63c | 39.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 44c | 37.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f11…15b5backed Yes | 53c | 36.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 40c | 34.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 64c | 31.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 41c | 31.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 460 | 40.9%188 W · 272 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed Yes | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 52c | 24.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Yes | 60c | 24.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad32…e1e9backed Yes | 63c | 22.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?this page
- Deportivo Alavés leading at halftime?No won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.