TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Segovia: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Oliver Crawford

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oliver Crawfordof Alejo Sanchez Quilez, Oliver Crawford
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez4c13,490$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.6711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez25c7,142$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.2562956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez19c6,445$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.168,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Oliver Crawford78c4,664$3,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.093,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Oliver Crawford77c4,619$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.94,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9837738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez5c2,012$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.854,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Oliver Crawford78c1,915$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.9694068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe72…c936backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez22c1,743$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.37825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Oliver Crawford76c1,313$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8439046.4%181 W · 209 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez22c1,155$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x280f…ad6abacked Oliver Crawford78c1,150$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9112851.6%66 W · 62 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez18c1,000$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.699,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Oliver Crawford80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20046551.2%238 W · 227 L-23.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dd8…9d29backed Oliver Crawford76c893.86$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.531266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Oliver Crawford72c753.3$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.926,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez27c722.58$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez21c666.16$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.162,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oliver Crawford74c640$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.858,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez46c599.96$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.987,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Oliver Crawford65c588$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.829649.7%147 W · 149 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Oliver Crawford54c554.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.78259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oliver Crawford79c506.96$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.478,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Oliver Crawford66c456.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2533551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez13c449.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.531234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez23c434.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8430746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Oliver Crawford55c423.64$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6445256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez14c404.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.944018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf545…4036backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez25c392.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Oliver Crawford80c365$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez45c359.07$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.583,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Oliver Crawford76c332.14$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7173648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Oliver Crawford78c331.77$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7522337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez21c323.92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0614250%71 W · 71 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c8…a25cbacked Oliver Crawford80c300$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6116451.8%85 W · 79 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez31c249.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.548842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Oliver Crawford68c226.12$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4665157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez19c199.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3840527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Oliver Crawford76c155.36$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.514,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Oliver Crawford75c142$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.592674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6528…2dcebacked Oliver Crawford76c138.89$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.335263.5%33 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Oliver Crawford76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5839469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez46c131.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.117,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6abc…e3c5backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Oliver Crawford77c130.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.332329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Oliver Crawford77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8760158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Oliver Crawford78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2186470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez22c117.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.433,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f06…8ebebacked Oliver Crawford54c103.7$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.720553.7%110 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Oliver Crawford76c102.17$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.041,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez23c102.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.081,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Oliver Crawford53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0d…6b6abacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez13c95.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12449.1%4 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Oliver Crawford56c89.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2825448.4%123 W · 131 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556337.3%210 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff06…c7d5backed Oliver Crawford54c83.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3314757.8%85 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Oliver Crawford79c81.03$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0221767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Oliver Crawford68c79.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7982560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Oliver Crawford73c78.03$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.072,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez26c77.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd1…f311backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3525551%130 W · 125 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez46c74.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1718542.7%79 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa56d…3053backed Oliver Crawford76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7921765.9%143 W · 74 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb25e…6deabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez46c64.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd958…f864backed Oliver Crawford79c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.042065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a9e…0dfcbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez33c60.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick39cpaid-82.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ca1…2f58backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez25c60.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.163339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed Oliver Crawford78c51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9813450.7%68 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Oliver Crawford73c50.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.676355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12e3…7982backed Oliver Crawford67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.59722.7%22 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Oliver Crawford67c48.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.225,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Oliver Crawford69c44.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5687741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf860…b67bbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-59.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Oliver Crawford79c39.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2354141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Oliver Crawford54c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.482,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Oliver Crawford76c37.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.891,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da8…54afbacked Oliver Crawford55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.26556.9%37 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez47c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.451,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Oliver Crawford71c34.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9429149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez47c32.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.382,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbef9…aa36backed Oliver Crawford54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.787951.9%41 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez47c26.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.572,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbcd…3fcfbacked Oliver Crawford76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.328769%60 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce76…9371backed Oliver Crawford76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.322176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez46c26.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1290152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4522…ef10backed Oliver Crawford77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972281.8%18 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Oliver Crawford76c25.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1526955%148 W · 121 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez46c25.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7155941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Oliver Crawford75c25.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3316964.5%109 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Oliver Crawford76c17.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0350268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Oliver Crawford78c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5297852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Oliver Crawford77c15.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5945564.6%294 W · 161 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.